Match Details and Win Probabilities
The stage is set for an epic Group C encounter on Saturday, June 13, 2026, at the New York New Jersey Stadium (MetLife Stadium). With kickoff scheduled for 6:00 PM local time (18:00 EDT), the world will be watching as Mohamed Ouahbi's Atlas Lions face off against the five-time world champions. According to the latest statistical models as of June 7, Brazil enters the match as the clear favorite with a 58.6% probability of securing a victory. However, a draw sits at a significant 24.5%, while Morocco has a 16.9% chance of pulling off an opening-day upset.
Historical Edge: The 2023 Friendly
While the algorithms heavily favor the South Americans, recent history tells a different story. The two nations last met in an International Friendly on March 26, 2023. In that encounter, Morocco secured a famous 2-1 victory, overcoming a 48% possession deficit. Sofiane Boufal opened the scoring in the 29th minute, and despite Casemiro's equalizer in the 67th minute, Abdelhamid Sabiri netted the winner in the 79th minute. That psychological edge will be crucial for a Moroccan squad led by captain Achraf Hakimi and star goalkeeper Yassine Bounou, both of whom have expressed immense confidence since arriving at their New Jersey base camp.
Morocco's Form and Group C Outlook
Morocco arrives at the tournament in stellar form. Prior to their final warm-up match against Norway on June 7 at the Red Bull Arena, the team had secured four wins and a draw in their previous friendlies against Ecuador, Paraguay, Burundi, and Madagascar. Coach Ouahbi has successfully blended the fighting spirit of Qatar 2022 with a new tactical approach, building a team capable of competing with the world's best. Following this massive opening test against Brazil, Morocco's path in Group C will continue against Scotland on June 19 in Boston, before concluding the group stage against Haiti on June 24 in Atlanta. A positive result against Brazil is widely viewed as the essential key to advancing comfortably to the knockout stages.
